NEWS

 >> CMA-CGM’s acquisition of Neptune Orient Lines and Cosco’s merger with China Shipping Container Line (CSCL), prompted the need for a few changes in the current capacity-sharing agreements amongst the shipping lines. More.

>> MDST has been appointed by Transport for the North (TfN), in partnership with York Aviation and Regeneris Consulting, to carry out a review of international passenger connectivity in the North of England. More.

>> Chris Rowland, Managing Director of MDST, presented the draft conclusions from the Transport for the North (TfN) Freight & Logistics Strategy at the Freight in the City Conference in Manchester on 3 March 2016. More.

>> With 22 maritime services, Iran is expected to see an increase of around 250% in the capacity of container shipping passing through its ports in spring 2016, as shipping lines seek to benefit from the removal of sanctions. More.

>> MDST Chairman, Mike Garratt, wrote to the editor of RAIL magazine in March about the future of rail freight in Great Britain. More.

>> MDST has examined the evidence for Chinese ‘dumping’ of steel on the global and UK markets using its World Cargo Database, which allows it to monitor world trade by both volume and value and for detailed commodities. More.

>> East Asia export box trade sees growth of 1.7% in 2015, says MDST in an article published by Lloyds List. More.

>> Global demand in 2015Q1 is estimated to have grown at a higher rate than 2014Q1, but still not fast enough to narrow the gap with capacity. More.

>> The UK Department for Transport (DfT) has published road traffic forecasts which used MDST’s GB Freight Model (GBFM) to develop forecasts to 2040 for HGV traffic on the British road network. More.

>> Ports should be at the centre of distribution chains says MDST. More.

>> Based on its analysis of Eurostat port statistics and its own World Cargo Database, MDS Transmodal has concluded that ports handled 640 million tonnes in 2014, a market share of 40%. More.

>> SECA and lower fuel prices: extra costs or savings for shippers?  More.

>> MDST, in association with Savills, has completed the Leicester and Leicestershire Strategic Distribution Study for the Leicester and Leicestershire Housing Planning and Infrastructure Group (HPIG).  More.

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GBFM – the Great Britain Freight Model

GBFM is an integrated software/database system linking domestic and international GB freight data with simple economic models for explaining freight demand and allowing trend and scenario based forecasting.  The model has been developed independently by MDS Transmodal, originally as an in-house system to make good use of available transport data. 

GBFM has since been expanded, in partnership with various organisations including the UK Department for Transport (ITEA Division), the Freight Transport Association and HM Revenue and Customs.  GFBM has recently undergone a major overhaul.  Version 5.0 was released in early 2008.  See the methodology and user guide. 

GBFM is an evolving system. It represents our attempt to provide a tool for establishing a consensus on the impact of transport policy, the causes of traffic growth, the relationship between trade and inland traffic and the effects of competing transport modes. Outputs from the model include modal forecasts and results that can be assigned to networks and represented graphically. 

We have used the model for many commercial and policy orientated applications including: 

  • National road forecasts
  • National rail forecasts 
  • Port traffic forecasting   
  • Local and regional studies 
  • Lorry road user charging 
  • Impact of higher fuel costs 
  • Justifying the need and modelling the traffic generated for various proposed rail-connected warehousing sites 
  • Testing the viability of proposed ferry routes