HGV traffic flow analysis

HGV traffic flow analysis

 Client: Connected Places Catapult

Date: 2020
The Connected Places Catapult commissioned MDST to use the GB Freight Model (GBFM) to extract origin-destination data for long haul HGVs so that the Catapult could carry out research on how to decarbonise heavy road freight.

The Question

How many HGVs are travelling on the British highways network, how much carbon are they emitting and by how much could these traffic flows grow up to 2040?

The Solution

  • Provided an origin-destination (OD) matrix for HGV flows for Great Britain from the GB Freight Model (GBFM)
  • Provided tailpipe greenhouse gas emissions related to the HGV movements
  • Assigned the HGV flows between the ODs to a highway network & mapped them to visualise the location of the flows
  • Produced HGV traffic forecasts to 2040 for the flows
  • Analysed the HGV flows by length of haul on 40 links on the highway network
  • Produced a technical report describing the deliverables & the methodology employed

    Outcome

    The project allowed the client to carry out further research on options for decarbonising HGV flows and the Catapult published its conclusions in its Transition to Zero-Emission Transport – A Pathway for Long-Haul Heavy Goods Vehicles  in March 2021.
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