Jebel Ali Terminal 1 Master Plan

Jebel Ali Terminal 1 Master Plan

Client: DP World / AECOM

Date:2015-2016
Development of 25 year port traffic forecasts for container and non-containerised cargoes. Assessment of the port’s competitive position in the regional container market and the impact of GCC rail.

The problem

DP World required a Master Plan to inform future investment at Jebel Ali’s Terminal 1, which is the principal location for handling general cargo, including motor vehicles, steel, timber, other breakbulks, sugar and cement and liquid bulks. AECOM subcontracted MDS Transmodal to provide forecasts of future volumes and space requirements as well as forecasts of future container volumes in the light of developments in the regional container market and the impact of GCC rail on Gulf transport geography and inland distribution patterns.

The Solution

Production of 25 year forecasts of all non-unitised commodities handled at the T1 terminal including bulks, roro and liquid bulks, including Interviews with major stakeholders.

Development of container forecasts including transhipment based on two scenarios:
  • Scenario 1: Base Case - Trend based forecast for all countries 
  • Scenario 2: Growth of Iran and Iraq (the particular impact of Iran and Iraq recovering their ‘normal’ position in world trade).
Consideration of the impact of rail development in the Gulf area and the emergence of new port opportunities.
 
Testing options for shipping lines using the MDST End-to-End model which enabled comparisons of changes in port rotations or a switch from direct to feedering (or the reverse). The objective was to compare the costs faced by service providers of carrying containers via Jebel Ali within different markets as compared with alternative routes. 
  • Potential impact of rail shifting the relative competitiveness of ports
  • Impact on Jebel Ali of more direct calls at Bandar Abbas
  • Impact on Jebel Ali of more direct calls in Iraq (e.g. Umm Qasr)
  • Impact on Jebel Ali of more direct calls in India (e.g. Mundra)
  • Development of rival ports.
Analysis of vessel sizes trends in all market sectors

Achievements

Report with full results of analysis taken forward by AECOM to develop full engineering Master Plan
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