Leicestershire Warehousing Study

Leicestershire Warehousing Study

 Client: Leicestershire planning authorities (in association with GL Hearn and Iceni Projects)

Date: 2020-21
MDST was commissioned to forecast future new-build rates for large scale warehousing in Leicestershire and the wider East Midlands to 2041, alongside a qualitative assessment of key issues affecting the sector, including decarbonisation of the supply chain, the growth of e-commerce and rail freight.

The Question

  • What is the potential anticipated demand for new-build large-scale warehousing in Leicestershire and the wider East Midlands up to 2041, and how much additional land will be needed to be brought forward in local plans to accommodate it?
  • How will issues such as decarbonisation of the supply chain, the growth of e-commerce and rail freight affect the sector up to 2041?

The Solution

  • Reviewed current planning/transport policy and various previous studies;
  • Produced a qualitative assessment of key issues affecting the logistics sector, including decarbonisation of the supply chain, the growth of e-commerce and rail freight;
  • Quantified existing large-scale warehouse floor space capacity nationally, in the East Midlands by local authority and in Leicestershire;
  • Forecast future new-build rates to 2041, taking into account the need to replace a proportion of the existing capacity (due to it becoming life-expired) and traffic growth. This process was informed by MDS Transmodal’s warehouse database (existing capacity) and the GB Freight Model (forecast traffic growth);
  • Compared existing land supply (including rail-served sites) with the forecast new-build rates, thereby determining the quantum of new land that will need to be brought forward to 2041 in local plans (including land at rail-served sites);
  • Recommended key areas of opportunity (i.e. where new land should be brought forward); and
  • Provided advice on drafting new local plan policies on phasing and sequencing.

Outcome

Final Report published by Leicestershire authorities in April 2021 (https://www.nwleics.gov.uk/pages/strategic_distribution_study)
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